The Beak Basketball Breakdown: The Hoosiers

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An old rivalry will be renewed when Louisville makes its return to MSG for the Jimmy V Classic. The Cards and Hoosiers will do battle for the first time since playing a game on February 1st 2003. It was the Cards that came out victorious in that game 95-76. This game will mark the 17th meeting between the two schools in history with IU holding a 10-6 advantage. The teams have met three times since 1990 with IU holding a 3-1 edge in those games. The game is not part of an ongoing series but is instead a one-game contract between the two schools. Coach Pitino has been working hard to get a home and home series with the Hoosiers but that hasn’t came about yet. Let’s all hope that the game on Tuesday night will spark up the old feud enough to make this a annual meeting. This will be assistant coach Kenny Johnson’s first time meeting his former team since leaving the Hoosiers for the Cardinals.

This will be the 19th meeting against Louisville for head coach Tom Crean, who has eight wins against the Cardinals. The Hoosiers will bring one of the nations best offensive teams to the floor on Tuesday night. They are averaging 88.4 points on 52.4 percent shooting from the field, shooting 74.7 percent from the line and 43.9 percent from beyond the arc. The Hoosiers have won three straight and looking for their second win over a ranked team. They beat then ranked #22 SMU back on November 20th. They have also beaten fellow ACC member Pittsburgh on December 2nd 81-69.

Leading the way for the Hoosiers is a very talented group of players. James Blackmon Jr. leads Indiana with 19.5 points and 5.1 rebounds while Yogi Ferrell is averaging 17.3 points and 5.8 rebounds. Troy Williams is averaging 12.2 points while shooting 61.2 percent from the field and 5.3 rebounds. Robert Johnson is averaging 11.1 points, 3.9 assists per game, and 4.5 rebounds a game. Their bench is averaging 29.9 points a game.

Since 2011-12, Indiana leads all major conference teams in field goal percentage (47.9), three-point field goal percentage (39.8) and free throw percentage (74.6). IU also is fourth nationally in scoring (77.1), and second in free throws made (2,051). The Hoosiers 38.6% 3-point field goal percentage since the start of the 2010-11 season is the highest among major college conference schools in that time frame. They leads the Big Ten in scoring, field goal percentage and three-pointers made per game (9.7). IU is second in the league in three point field goal percentage and fourth in free throw percentage.

For all of the good things they do on the offensive end of the floor Indiana’s defense could use some work. They are forcing just 13.5 turnovers per contest and have allowed 70-plus points in three of their last five games. They are allowing 69.2 points on 43.7 percent shooting from the field, and 32.7% from the 3-pt line wile giving up 6.5 makes from there a game.

2014-15 OVERALL RANKINGS
Offense
-POINTS PER GAME
88.4
4th
OVERALL
-REBOUNDS PER GAME
37.4
98th
OVERALL
-ASSISTS PER GAME
16.5
27th
OVERALL
-FIELD GOAL PCT
.524
9th
OVERALL

Defense
-POINTS ALLOWED
69.3
236th
-OVERALL
-REBOUNDS PER GAME
25.6
100th
OVERALL
-BLOCKS PER GAME
3.3
207th
OVERALL
-STEALS PER GAME
6.9
134th
OVERALL

2014-15 Kenpom Rankings
Overall- #50
Defense Adjustment Efficiency
-99.1 ranks 156th
Offense Adjustment Efficiency
-110.9 ranks 12th
-Per Kenpom game prediction he has the Cardinals winning the game 78-68 based on his indexes.

Our Cardinals will look to remain undefeated on Tuesday night and will have to rely heavily on a defense that is forcing 19 turnovers per game and holding teams to 22.8 percent shooting from deep. Louisville is also the second-best rebounding team in the country with 46.3 boards per game. They must win the battle of the boards against the Hoosiers and not allow their great offensive guys to get second or third opportunities. They will also need to speed the Hoosiers up and make them take quick shots with a hand in their face.

Montrezl Harrell leads the Cardinals with 16.1 points and 9.4 rebounds while Terry Rozier is averaging 13 points and 5.7 rebounds. Chris Jones is averaging 3.3 assists and Wayne Blackshear is shooting 39.4 percent from the field. These guys have been leading the way all season and will have to step up big again on Tuesday night. Montrezl and Wayne are the only guys on the current roster that have ever played at the Garden, so nerves could play a roll early on for Terry and Chris. We will need Nanu to have a big game and hopefully Anton Gill’s hot shooting streak from last Friday night will carry over in this game. Coach Pitino was very concerned about his teams ability to find the open man and the passing game. He said that was something they were going to work on in preparation for this one.

This will be another great chance at another quality non-conference win on a neutral court, and will take the best defensive and offensive effort of the season to get it. This should be a great game in a great venue and it is a very special event. This one makes me nervous and it is going to be gut check time. Cards will squeak out a close one.

The Beak Prediction:
Louisville 80 Indiana 77

A Win Over FIU and a Happy Birthday For Gill

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Our Cardinals moved to 7-0 on Friday night and have now won 33 straight against non-conference opponents at the Yum Center. The Cardinals beat a very scrappy FIU team 82-57 and now lead the series with them 4-0. The Cardinals came out of the gate tonight ice cold and FIU was able to keep it close until about the 9 minute mark in the first half before the Cardinals would take the lead for good and never looked back.

The defense was again solid tonight holding FIU to just 37% from the field, 33% from the three point line, forcing them into 25 turnovers, with 14 steals and 12 blocked shots. The Louisville offense muddled along tonight most of the first half but it did get better in the second half. Coach Pitino was really disappointed in his teams ability to find the open man, and really came down on his team for not passing the ball as much as they should. With the Christmas break coming up it is the time of year that Louisville teams really improve on offense, and when I asked Coach Pitino about things they would work on during the break he said “Passing”.

It was Anton Gill’s birthday on Friday night and he played like it. He lead all scores with 15 points and was 3-5 from the three point line. He let his positive momentum carry over to his defensive effort also and it was his best effort this season on that end of the floor. I really feel like Gill is a player that can be a triple threat on the perimeter for this team. He can knock down the three, he knows how to drive to the basket and finish and he is great at threading the needle (see photo below).

Montrezl Harrell had his 19th consecutive game scoring in double figures and had his third consecutive double-double scoring 13 points and grabbing 12 rebounds. He was disappointed that he had 5 turnovers. Montrezl has set the bar high for himself and his team-mates.

Wayne Blackshear had another solid outing. He had 12 points, 2-8 from the three, had 6 rebounds and a team high 4 steals. I really like Chicago Wayne.

Chris Jones said that he had heeded the words of Coach Pitino and had stayed away from his phone this past week. He had 11 points, was 2-4 from the three point line, and had 3 steals. Chris seemed more confident tonight and was again great on the defensive side of the ball.

Shout out of the night goes to Chinanu Onuaku.. He led the team tonight with 5 assist and is probably the best passer on this team. He really played well in the paint also. This kid keeps progressing and watch out come March.

It was another win and that’s always good. A lot of guys got some quality minutes and it seems like we had a guy who gained a lot of his confidence back in Gill. The defense is awesome and I think the offense looked better and will be a lot better here in a few weeks. Big game against IU coming up next week and these guys seem very excited to get back to the Garden. It will be the first trip for several of them. Will be good to see our Cardinals back on that big stage. Go Cards!

   
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The Beak Basketball Breakdown: FIU

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Our Cardinals will be looking to move to 7-0 and get their 32nd consecutive win over a non-conference opponent at the Yum Center when they host FIU on Friday night at 7:00pm. This series was started when Richard Pitino was the Panthers head coach. These teams have played three times with Louisville winning all three games. The Cardinals beat the Panthers last season 85-56 in Miami.

Coach Pitino FIU Press Conference

Leading FIU on the offensive side of the floor is senior G Dennis Mavin who is averaging 16.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists. Junior C Adrian Diaz is averaging 13.8 points and 7.5 rebounds a game. He is 39th in the nation in blocked shots with 2.5 a game. G Dominique Williams is averaging 7.8 points and 4 rebounds a game.

FIU has been strong on the defensive side of the ball through their first eight games, ranking 26th nationally in scoring defense (55.0 ppg), eighth in three-point field goal percentage defense (.215) and 90th nationally in
steals (9.0 per game). In their last game FIU limited Kennesaw State to 26.9 percent from the field, forced 15 turnovers and held a +10 margin in rebounding.

FIU 2014-15 OVERALL RANKINGS Offense | Defense
-POINTS PER GAME
62.1
279th
OVERALL
-REBOUNDS PER GAME
36.6
128th
OVERALL
-ASSISTS PER GAME
12.9
166th
OVERALL
-FIELD GOAL PCT
.425
200th
OVERALL
-POINTS ALLOWED
56.1
25th
OVERALL
-D REBOUNDS PER GAME
26.0
88th
OVERALL
-BLOCKS PER GAME
4.3
107th
OVERALL
-STEALS PER GAME
7.5
90th
OVERALL

2014-15 Kenpom Rankings
Overall- #243
Defense Adjustment Efficiency
-98.8 ranks 144th
Offense Adjustment Efficiency
-93.7 ranks 299th
-Per Kenpom game prediction he has the Cardinals winning the game 73-50 based on his indexes.

The Cardinals are a 30 point favorite tonight so don’t expect this one to be very exciting. It will be another one of those tune-up games against other competition and will be good for working on some things offensively while getting our bench some valuable playing time. Montrezl Harrell will be going for his 19th game in a row scoring in double figures and currently leads the ACC in that category. I would like to see Chris Jones have a better night and think that would give him a confidence boost.

Tonight is the last game before the end of classes on December 8th. This is typically the time of year coach Pitino gets these guys in the gym and really starts ironing out issues on both defense and offense getting them prepared for the conference run. Hopefully he can get Shaqquan back during this time as well. Things are really going to start picking up and the level of competition will also. But that won’t be the case tonight. Cards will cruise to 7-0…

The Beak Prediction:
Louisville 80 FIU 49

Cards Will Play In a Special Event Next Week

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It is Jimmy V Week and as the sports world remembers the life of one of it’s own we can all reflect on loved ones that have been taken or affected in some way by cancer. During Jimmy V week millions of dollars are raised to help fight cancer through cutting edge research and other programs. On Thursday morning Bob Valvano was interviewed by phone on ESPN. He talked about some of the new research programs and even talked about a guy in Louisville with brain cancer who’s life had been extended due to research from funds of the V Foundation. This organization is making a difference. Jimmy V Week culminates next week with the Jimmy V Classic and our Cardinals will again be a part of this special event.

The Jimmy V Classic is one of my favorite events of the college basketball season. No Championship is on the line, and no tournament berths are at stake. Instead, the basketball world comes together for one night to celebrate the life of one its own, and help to save the lives of many more. It is rare that there is a charity where 100% of everything you contribute goes to research and the Jimmy V Foundation does just that. They received an endowment which allows them to give all of the donations to fight against cancer, not to pay bills. As I am sure is the case with many of you, a lot of people I know have been touched by cancer including my family. Some have fought and won, others have fought and lost. I hope for a day when we can eliminate the second group and everyone fights and wins. The Jimmy V Classic has been played since 1995.

That last time the Cards were in this event was back in 2006. That was a time when Louisville’s luck wasn’t as good in The Garden as it is nowadays. They played Arizona in their first and only appearance in the Classic losing that game 72-65.

An old rivalry will be renewed when Louisville makes its return to MSG for the V Classic. The Cards and Hoosiers will do battle for the first time since playing a game on February 1st 2003. It was the Cards that came out victorious in that game 95-76. The game will mark the 17th meeting between the two schools in history with IU holding a 10-6 advantage. The teams have met three times since 1990 with IU holding a 3-1 edge in those games. The game is not part of an ongoing series but is instead a one-game contract between the two schools. Coach Pitino has been working hard to get a home and home series with the Hoosiers but that hasn’t came about yet. Let’s all hope that the game on December 9th will spark up the old feud enough to make this a annual meeting.

I’m looking forward to next Tuesday and I’m glad that the Cardinals are going to be a part of helping such a worthy cause. Be sure to visit the Jimmy V website this week or next and make a donation. I can’t think of a better way to spend your money this holiday season.

Cards Win Their First ACC/Big10 Challenge

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(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)

After the first six games of the ACC/Big10 Challenge the Big 10 has the lead 4-2. Louisville was able to score its new conference their second win of the night as they beat Ohio State in their first of these challenges 64-55. With the win the Cardinals take the overall lead in the series against Ohio State 5-4. The Cardinals start 6-0 for the first time since 2011 and have now won 31 straight against non-conference opponents at the Yum Center.

Louisville was facing an Ohio State team tonight that had been shooting at a 57% clip from the field and was statistically one of the best offensive teams in the country. Their guys had been scoring in bunches from all over the court. The Cardinals came out in the first half and stepped right up to the challenge. It what Coach Pitino called one of the finest defensive performances in a very long time the Cardinals held the Buckeyes to 23% shooting and an 18 point total in that first half. They would give up a little more in the second half due to some tired legs but not much still holding the Buckeyes well under their averages at 30% shooting and 55 total points. The defense would also force 14 turnovers, have 11 steals and block 5 shots. In the battle of very good offense and very good defense it was the defense that won the night as I thought it would. The Cardinals who are currently ranked #1 in the country in rebounds per game did another good job on the glass tonight. They won that battle 46-41.

My big question in my game breakdown was if Wayne Blackshear would show up in the first big game of the season. The answer to that question is a resounding yes… Wayne “made it Wayne” in the first half and carried the Cardinals offensively scoring 16 of their 35 points. He also had 5 rebounds and 1 steal in that big first half. Ohio State made their adjustments towards him in the second half but he would still lead the team in scoring tonight and had 22 for the game. It is great to see Wayne respond in a big game environment like this and if he can do this all season it will mean great things for the Cardinals.

I also mentioned in my game breakdown that Montrezl, Chris and Terry would be the difference makers in this game. I felt like these three were the dominate players on the floor at their positions. Montrezl had a dominate state line. He had a double-double with 10 rebounds, 13 points to go along with 2 assist, 1 block and 2 steals. Chris did a good job up front at keeping pressure on their guards especially in the first half, but really wasn’t that impressive on the offensive end and did force some things towards the end.

It was the kid from Louisville D’Angelo Russell that kept Ohio State in the game, but it was the kid from Ohio that helped ice the game for Louisville. Terry Rozier is a warrior and tonight he showed just how much of a gamer he is. He dislocated his pinky finger, gets it put back in place, taped up then comes back into the game and scores 9 very important points down the stretch to help Louisville seal the victory. He had 7 rebounds and 7 assist to go along with his 11 points on the night. His night wasn’t flawless, but the intangibles more than made up for it.

Gotta give a special atta boy to the “Big Egyptian” who came into the game tonight and provided some solid minutes after Onuaku and Mango got into foul trouble early. Anas had 7 rebounds and 2 big blocked shots. He looked very good in this big game setting. Coach Pitino said at half-time when asked by the ESPN sideline reporter that Anas “surprised the hell” out of him. I think he might have surprised the hell out of a lot of people tonight.

The Cardinals have a long way to go on the offensive end of the floor, and still have to find a way to get more production out of the bench. But they are playing defense better than anyone in the country right now and that is really special considering how early it is. This defense will only continue to get better over the course of the season and that makes me giddy. We will be in every game this season thanks to that defense, but it will take steady improvement on the offensive side of the ball for this team to win those tougher games especially in March. Our Cardinals passed the first tough test of the season and are 6-0. I’m really excited about this team. Go Cards!

The Beak Basketball Breakdown: Cards vs. Buckeyes

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The first real test of the college basketball season will happen Tuesday night when Louisville plays Ohio State in the 16th annual Big Ten/ACC Challenge. This is a game that both teams have had circled on their schedules since finding out back in the summer they would play. These teams first met in 1953 and last played in 2003. Louisville beat Ohio State in that last game 72-64 in Overtime at Value City Arena in Columbus. The all-time record in this series is tied at 4-4. The ACC–Big Ten Challenge started back in 1999 and the ACC leads the challenge 10-3. It has ended in a tie 3 times.

Ohio State coach Thad Matta has said that early in his career he wanted to emulate Rick Pitino. And Matta has become a pretty good coach in his own right. His team’s play an aggressive style on defense and like to get up and down the floor on offense. Like Louisville Ohio State lost some very good players last season and even lost their version of Russdiculous in Aaron Craft, the Buckeyes’ defensive menace.

Ohio State has a solid group of seniors returning and some talented new comers who will be hungry to make a mends for their first round exit in the NCAA Tourney back in March.
They are led in the front-court by sophomore F Marc Loving (12ppg, 1.4rpg, 1.0 stl) seniors C Amir Williams (8.3ppg, 5.3rpg, 1.3blks) C Trey McDonald (5.2ppg, 5.8rpg, 0.8blks) and Temple transfer F Anthony Lee (6.6ppg, 2.4rpg, 0.2stl). They also have two solid freshmen in F Keita Bates-Diop (4.6ppg, 2.0rpg, 0.6blk) and F Jae’Sean Tate (6.2ppg, 5.0rpg, 1.0blk).
They are led in the back-court by Louisville native freshman SG D’Angelo Russell (18.0ppg, 4.0rpg, 5.4apg) seniors F/G Sam Thompson (12ppg, 4.6rpg, 2.2apg) and G Shannon Scott (9.2ppg, 3.4rpg, 10.4apg). They also get quality minutes from talented freshman G Kam Williams (6.8ppg, 0.2rpg, 0.6apg).

Ohio State is averaging 87 points a game, shooting 56% from the field, 41% from the 3 point line, and 71% from the free throw line. They average 36 rebounds a game, 9 steals per game, 5 blocks per game, and an impressive 19 assist per game. They are averaging 12 turnovers a game while their opponents are averaging 18.8.

Ohio State 2014-15 OVERALL RANKINGS Offense | Defense
-POINTS PER GAME
87.2
10th
OVERALL
-REBOUNDS PER GAME
36.4
141st
OVERALL
-ASSISTS PER GAME
19.4
6th
OVERALL
-FIELD GOAL PCT
.567
2nd
OVERALL
-POINTS ALLOWED
57.2
33rd
OVERALL
-BLOCKS PER GAME
4.6
78th
OVERALL
-STEALS PER GAME
8.6
48th
OVERALL

2014-15 Kenpom Rankings
Overall- #14
Defense Adjustment Efficiency
-89.6 ranks 17th
Offense Adjustment Efficiency
-106.7 ranks 39th
-Per Kenpom game prediction he has the Cardinals winning the game 72-63 based on his indexes.

This one has all the makings for one of the best games of the early season in college basketball. Ohio State has been better on the offensive side of the ball #2 in the nation in FG%, #10 in the nation in points per game and has really been sharing the ball well currently ranked #6 in the nation in assist. The Cardinals have been much better on the defensive side of the ball #3 in the nation in points allowed, #7 in the nation in steals per game and have been rebounding the ball better currently ranked #1 in the nation in that category. Both of these teams have solid back-courts and are solid on the wings. The big difference is Montrezl Harrell. Ohio State doesn’t have that one star player on their roster that they can turn to when they need a lift.

It will be interesting to see how much production we get from Wayne Blackshear. Will he step up in the first big time game of the season? The Cardinals will also need a solid outing from freshman Onuaku and hopefully Mango will be ready to go from that ankle injury. Ohio State has been getting solid production out of their bench while ours went scoreless in the last game. We will have to get points from the bench Tuesday night.

Ultimately Terry Rozier, Chris Jones and Montrezl will be the difference makers. I also think the home court advantage will be important. This is Ohio State’s first trip away from Columbus. Neither of these teams has played a tough schedule to this point but I do give the slight edge to the Cardinals. This one is going to be a dog fight and will come down to a few key possessions. Our Cardinals will have to come out ready to go and I think they will be up for the challenge.

The Beak Prediction:
Louisville 75 Ohio State 68